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BernardKeane's profile
Bernard Keane
Bernard Keane
Bernard Keane
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@BernardKeane

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Bernard KeaneVerified account

@BernardKeane

Alleged writer and Crikey politics editor. These days mainly here for the greyhounds.

Canberra
crikey.com.au
Joined February 2009

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    Bernard Keane‏Verified account @BernardKeane 21 Aug 2017

    The "we'll all be rooned" property bubble story is now a media cliché and it's rubbishhttps://www.crikey.com.au/2017/08/22/4-corners-hypes-property-bubble/ …

    9:28 PM - 21 Aug 2017
    • 4 Retweets
    • 5 Likes
    • BABA KAIYUM Mizanur Rahman Melbourne Docklander Greg Smith 🗨️ Ben Phillips David Howe Truckie
    3 replies 4 retweets 5 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. fieldo85‏ @fieldo85 21 Aug 2017
        Replying to @BernardKeane

        That's exactly what the US Fed claimed in 2005. "There's No Housing Bubble to Go Bust". How'd that turn out??http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/10/26/AR2005102602255.html …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Caitlin Fitzsimmons  🧜‍♀️‏Verified account @niltiac 21 Aug 2017
        Replying to @fieldo85 @BernardKeane

        There could be trouble but many of the underlying factors are quite different to the US and/or Ireland pre-GFC.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Rational Radical‏ @RationalRadicaI 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @niltiac @fieldo85 @BernardKeane

        Please elaborate.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. fieldo85‏ @fieldo85 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @RationalRadicaI @niltiac @BernardKeane

        The underlying factors: house prices, household debt to GDP & household debt per person are ALL HIGHER than US, Ireland & Spain pre-crash.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Rational Radical‏ @RationalRadicaI 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @fieldo85 @niltiac @BernardKeane

        Quite different = worse. A matter of scale NOT nature. We never learn re credit fuelled bubbles. Aus has highest HH debt of any CAD nation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      7. Caitlin Fitzsimmons  🧜‍♀️‏Verified account @niltiac 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @RationalRadicaI @fieldo85 @BernardKeane

        The underlying factor that the US and Irish bubble was caused by demand for CDOs. We still have CDOs but they're not flavour of the month.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Caitlin Fitzsimmons  🧜‍♀️‏Verified account @niltiac 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @niltiac @RationalRadicaI and

        The big concern would be if there's an economic shock that causes mass unemployment or causes the Reserve Bank to put up interest rates.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      9. Caitlin Fitzsimmons  🧜‍♀️‏Verified account @niltiac 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @niltiac @RationalRadicaI and

        There'd be big trouble if we had an economic shock of kind that would cause increased unemployment, for sure.http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-26/australia-at-risk-of-high-household-debt-bis/8651044 …

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      10. 4 more replies
      1. Rational Radical‏ @RationalRadicaI 22 Aug 2017
        Replying to @BernardKeane

        The "we'll all be rooned property bubble story is a media cliche" story is a media cliche. Where's your counterfactual on terminal risks?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Bohemian‏ @Bohomaniac 21 Aug 2017
        Replying to @BernardKeane

        Are people believing the MSM still ...?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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