I’m not sure why @BernardKeane is calling this a "late swing to the government” when it’s within margin of error.https://twitter.com/stilgherrian/status/748703820503408640 …
3.5 points to 2.8 points. "only just"? whatever you reckon.
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Yep, ±3 percentage points means the MoE band is 6 points wide. Shift was 3.5 points. May well be within band, given caveat.
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I agree there’s a good chance the shift is significant, but personally I’d not word it stronger than that.
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