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File under "big if true": new Jorda, Singh, and Taylor paper uses trilemma IV and finds that Tight monetary policy lowers productivity in the (12y) long run (!) => Expansionary monetary policy boosts long-run productivity (!) So money is not neutral? https://www.nber.org/papers/w26666.pdf …pic.twitter.com/XedqHcaUqh
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Milton Friedman channeling monetary policy econtwitter. The original subtweetingpic.twitter.com/PUHPHlWXEC
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Reminds me _slightly_ of this, cc
@Curious_Taskpic.twitter.com/6dRPNKBOU2
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Mildly related, reading a
@C_Harwick paper recently and: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2545488 …pic.twitter.com/9KCT62NQ3Z
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Related: option-implied probability that LIBOR 5y forward will be <100bps: 40-50%! This data can be updated in real-time: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/banking/mpd.aspx#/m1/LR5y3m/m2/LR5y3m/st1/prDec/st2/prDec/range/max …pic.twitter.com/p8pSRs8FqL
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Repeat after me: we. are. going. to. hit. the. ZLB. again.pic.twitter.com/YJYSmfGxlA
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Options-implied probability that US hits ZLB in next 3 yearspic.twitter.com/YENc1RkXFT
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"You haven’t eliminated your degrees of freedom; you’ve just moved them from the model stage to the mapping stage."pic.twitter.com/2bcWVNzYz0
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"This note examines mobile phone CPIs for 12 countries... Their CPIs vary wildly, ranging from no change (for Japan) to over 20 percent declines per annum (for New Zealand and the UK)" from
@tornqvist999 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/mysterious-cross-country-dispersion-in-mobile-phone-price-trends-20190805.htm …pic.twitter.com/6Prx0Vp2BK
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A Modern Love column written by an economist – on the opportunity cost of time – is exactly as great as you'd hope https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/28/style/modern-love-parking-cost-economics.html …pic.twitter.com/8SpNWumT2d
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Tfw your experiment is interrupted by a tornado http://papers.nber.org/papers/w25969 pic.twitter.com/lqwhCmUfkB
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Another potential comparison: Britain blockades US during War of 1812 ==> (arguably) sets stage for American industrial boompic.twitter.com/U21ym3ino8
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@C_Harwick has an elegant custom system that he's built into his blog posts that I think is good for poking at these subtleties https://cameronharwick.com/about/ pic.twitter.com/AevN1wfWJL
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You frame this as correcting a market failure — some kind of tragedy of the commons — but after rereading it’s not clear to me precisely where the market failure is herepic.twitter.com/IQ3ky6Wz9u
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What an intro. Going to have to eat some nachos today while taking FOCspic.twitter.com/PoezqonQg0
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