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BallouxFrancois's profile
Prof Francois Balloux
Prof Francois Balloux
Prof Francois Balloux
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@BallouxFrancois

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Prof Francois BallouxVerified account

@BallouxFrancois

Director @UGI_at_UCL. Militant corona-centrist.

Soon surrounded by wildlife
scholar.google.co.uk/citations?user…
Joined April 2019

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    1. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25

      Prof Francois Balloux Retweeted Paul Nuki

      I personally like Sunetra Gupta. We massively disagreed over interpretation of data / patterns during the pandemic, as well as policy. That said, her being depicted as some sort of butcher does not feel OK to me. 1/https://twitter.com/PaulNuki/status/1418911327230349312 …

      Prof Francois Balloux added,

      Paul NukiVerified account @PaulNuki
      What a bizarre thread ⬇️ When I talked to his Barrington co-author Gupta re sheltering the vulnerable ahead of the 2nd wave she freely admitted she had no idea if it would work and had no back-up plan other than counting the corpses... https://twitter.com/MartinKulldorff/status/1418686247812452354 … pic.twitter.com/dO2aSvw8z9
      36 replies 31 retweets 416 likes
      Show this thread
      Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25

      Her expertise is in theoretical epidemiology and modelling. As such, I find it unfair for her to be criticised for not providing detailed, immediately implementable, public health measures from the top of her head. 2/

      3:55 PM - 25 Jul 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 158 Likes
      • Lilliana Lapsley Paul Jakma The Hero Must Dance Again #freeAssange 🎗 meme 💙 maxinquaye Yvon Wang 王弋文 Rick Leitz dd vaccinated Moderna Riri Rahmatan 🌸
      8 replies 1 retweet 158 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25

          It might have been possible to implement more targeted strategies towards protecting the most vulnerable. To give just one example I worked on briefly, the UK gov could have tried to take advantage of unused hotel rooms to shelter the more vulnerable during the winter wave. 3/

          3 replies 3 retweets 141 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25

          The implementation of more targeted protection strategies might, or might not, have reduced the death toll during the winter wave in the UK. We'll never know as my understanding is that they were deemed at the time to be too societally divisive, too complex and too costly. 4/

          21 replies 1 retweet 102 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25

          Prof Francois Balloux Retweeted Prof Francois Balloux

          A thread from September 2020 below. It's probably fair to state there wasn't much interest in 'targeted measures' at the time, and the concerns raised were primarily about costs, which feels slightly amusing with the benefit of hindsight. 5/https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1308082763690586114 …

          Prof Francois Balloux added,

          Prof Francois BallouxVerified account @BallouxFrancois
          The implementation of effective and humane measures to protect the most at-risk falls slightly outside my remit but I thought about it. Having such measures in place may provide some wiggling room now. In the winter, they may largely determine #COVID19 mortality. (1/8) https://twitter.com/EpicFeil_/status/1308054309838508032 …
          Show this thread
          8 replies 1 retweet 97 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 26

          To conclude on the sorry topic of targeted covid protection measure for now. The main reason, I believe, why they were not considered more seriously in most countries is largely ideological. They felt too welfarist for the political right and too utilitarian for the left. 6/

          11 replies 9 retweets 109 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Tom Wilson‏ @tom_wilson_92 Jul 25
          Replying to @BallouxFrancois

          I watched an interview where she argued for an uncontrolled herd immunity approach and was asked by the interviewer “would the NHS cope or would this lead to a lot of additional deaths?” and openly admitted it would be the latter but continued to argue for it anyway

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Tom Wilson‏ @tom_wilson_92 Jul 25
          Replying to @tom_wilson_92 @BallouxFrancois

          She was never in any doubt about what she was arguing for and her recent claims to be concerned about the “protection of lives” are dishonest and an attempt to hide the reality of her arguments

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Stroud Coronavirus Community Response  💙‏ @StroudCorona Jul 25
          Replying to @BallouxFrancois

          Don't think this argument washes really. You can't make such efforts to promote a course of action & then fail to offer any detail on how it would work, as she did. There are obvs things that could have been done better re eg care homes but it largely seemed unworkable

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Joe Healey‏ @JRJHealey Jul 25
          Replying to @BallouxFrancois

          To be fair, she's had about a year now, and the ear of the PM, yet still offers no workable way of implementing any sort of 'focussed protection'. FWIW I'm pretty sure that's because it's impossible.

          1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
        3. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois Jul 25
          Replying to @JRJHealey

          You may be right that some targeted protection measures may be difficult to implement effectively. Though the most basic one of all, generous sick pay, is trivial to put in place, highly effective and would have cost less than some of the PPE contracts that failed to deliver.

          2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. dolo‏ @doloyeung Jul 26
          Replying to @BallouxFrancois

          Nuki is mischaracterising both his questions and her answers. She "failed" to provided detailed policies because she was never asked to do so. He asked a banal hypothetical about whether she would think again should the shielding policy fail to which her obvious answer was yes.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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