Balazs Jarabik

@BalazsJarabik

Head of Political, Analysis and Coordination Department at seconded by . Previously . Strictly private.

Eastern and Central Europe
Vrijeme pridruživanja: studeni 2012.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    3. ruj 2019.

    Personal news: today is my first day as head of policy, analysis and coordination at in seconded by . I will support reforms in for a while instead of bragging about it. This account will remain active with strictly private takes on .

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  2. 2. velj
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  3. 2. velj

    experts on Pompeo’s offer to fully supply oil to : technically possible, price is key, buys crude from at 83% of global prices

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    In contrast to Clinton's visit in 1994: Pompeo did not meet pro-democratic parties and opposition leaders; and did not visit Kurapaty, Stalin-era mass grave site near Minsk. Instead — he went to Hi-Tech Park.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Useful reminder: France would have left EU in similar referendum to UK's, says ⁦

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  6. 1. velj

    The obvious limitation is authoritarian state. For the (human rights) record: according to HRDs estimate protesters fined cumulatively $60K for pro-independence rallies in 12/2019

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  7. 1. velj

    Context for Pompeo visit to : security (i.e. ) and energy (US interest)

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  8. 1. velj

    Lukashenko trolling Pompeo in (first visit of US Secretary of State to since 1993): this is a dictatorship where everyone else is relaxing (Saturday) but I work

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    59% say Russia needs "decisive change" but most called for better wages (24%) as opposed to democratization (4%). 39% don't know what politician could bring change. The authors think this research prompted Putin to fire gov't & offer constitutional changes

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    In today’s issue of BMB Ukraine, talks Pompeo in Kyiv, political ratings and the still-unconfirmed resignation of Vladislav Surkov -

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    Following NBU's guidance of a 7% interest rate by year-end, and a 4.8-5% CPI forecast, how many of you think that Ukraine can afford to have a 2-2.2% real rate? Especially when it comes after a "honeymoon" (for investors) of 8-9%? (Again, a reminder of where other EMs are).

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    New countries added to Trump’s travel ban list. Belarus is NOT there. We celebrate!

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    Beautifully written, first-hand account of the proxy war in Libya by . Interesting hints that the Kremlin may have pulled back some of its Wagner contingent following Putin's visit to Turkey.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Ukrainian negotiators and Russia's separatist proxies say they've agreed on another area for disengagement of forces in eastern Ukraine: Hnutove, a village north of Mariupol and Shyrokyne, near the Sea of Azov.

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    Here is (just released today) a series of lectures on inequality, done by @arjun_jayadeav and myself. We start with "Why should I care (about inequality)"

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    : Most important question for future if : Is it possible that Germany at some point sees itself at some point as the loser of European integration? Just like saw itself as loser of ?

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    battle for new 's oil subsidies: estimates Russian oil would still be bought at a discount to global oil prices and this discount falls to $1.3bn (0.9% of estimated 2020 GDP) this year, from $1.7bn (1.3% of GDP) in 2019.

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  18. 30. sij
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  19. 30. sij
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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    Thread: Another example of Tajikistan's backsliding, in fact back into Soviet-era. USSR also turned mosques & churches into cinemas, factories, kindergartens, barns, weapons depots, gyms in its war on religion 1/7

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  21. 29. sij

    Prescient analysis on the dilemma is facing w/ his majority in parliament

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