4/? Gallup and Pew do a great job and give us really precise estimates about self-reported beliefs. This is important!
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5/? For socially charged questions like religion, we suspect sometimes self-reports don't tell the whole story. So we found a different task
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6/? Is the task we found perfect? Or even great/good? We don't know, but thought it would be worth adding our data to what's out there
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7/? Did our study paper find some concerning things about this task? Oh hell yeah! The paper flags this as our "most damning result"
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8/? My only minor quibble with the Vox piece is the claim that
@GregSmith_Polls pointed out a "weird quirk" in our data...1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
9/? Not because Greg would be wrong to point out said quirk, but because we point out that quirk in our data and discuss it extensively
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10/? In the paper we tried very hard to express just how much uncertainty there is about this method and our estimate. It's messy.
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11/? My hat is off to
@siminevazire and@jpsimmon at SPPS for being okay with us publishing a, frankly, messy and imprecise paper1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @wgervais @maxinenajle and
12/? It's both the messiest and most transparent paper I've published, and I'm both 1) super proud of it and 2) so happy that it's at SPPS.
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Replying to @wgervais @maxinenajle and
13/13: Moral of the story: we all have "most damning results." Own them, show them, and love them. Because (psych) science is f-ing messy.
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I'm trying to do more stories that convey that a question/answer doesn't have to be conclusive to be *interesting* and worth chewing on.
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Replying to @B_resnick @wgervais and
this paper hit the right notes there.
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