Dangerous combination: huge population growth & minimal hurricane landfalls in #Miami lately. @UMiamiRSMAS
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@UMiamiRSMAS The curves bear no relation to each other at all. If there were 3 strikes in the 70's would Miami pop be 10% less?
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@UMiamiRSMAS Most likely not... landfalls aren't that deadly. There is no correlation between landfalls and population.
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@UMiamiRSMAS But all new construction and remodels with vastly improved codes. That will be a difference when we get next one
Sorry to bother. Thought each storm waas probabilistically independent of the previous ones? That'd make this gambler's fallacy..



