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Of course, as I think my caveated language suggested, we shouldn't necessarily believe Iraqi officials' take either. I'm for full-spectrum skepticism and vetting claims that are the basis for airstrikes and wars as publicly as possible, ideally before the fighting.
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And yes, as others note, the Trump administration's desire to blame Iranian-linked forces for any trouble, rather than bad intelligence alone, may be the root cause the potential error.
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Iraqis say an ISIS cell, not Khataib Hezbollah backed by Iran, fired a rocket killing a US contractor December 27. So maybe the US killed a bunch of people, almost had a war with Iran and got a bunch of US soldiers injured based on bad intelligence.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/06/world/middleeast/iraq-iran-hezbollah-evidence.html …
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Iraq wants to “minimize reliance” on US military help in patrols against ISIS remnants due to the Soleimani killing and etc. Let’s congratulate them for taking on the burden of their security like proper allies, recognize their sovereignty and leave.https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2020/02/05/iraqi-officials-say-baghdad-wants-to-minimize-reliance-on-us-military-in-fight-against-islamic-state/ …
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Besides skepticism of nation-building (likely linked to its hint of generosity and easily overwhelmed by more illiberal rationale like plunder), there's no evidence for Trump being anti-war. Politicians reveal political preferences through action. Rhetoric is for sales.
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Trump, who supported the Iraq war, has never as president expressed any interest in pulling troops out of there and wants them there to menace Iran. He got talked into keeping troops in Syria under the pretense of stealing oil. He added 15,000 troops + to the region last year.
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Trump never promised or vowed to end US wars in the Middle-East. Last night he said he’s “working towards” ending them, which is like saying he’s working to eliminate nukes since the US remains in the NPT. And we’d be nuts to believe his promises anyway.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/05/us/politics/state-of-union-transcript.html …
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Low yield nukes deter perfectly against a wholly imaginary enemy. They need to be at once crazy enough to start a major war assuming the US won’t use normal nukes to help an ally for fear of killing too many civilians then suddenly settled by the prospect of low-yield US nukes.https://twitter.com/julianborger/status/1224691062691848194 …
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Damnit I meant
@MilesPomper. No offense to@milespo.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
I was on the
@WarOnTheRocks podcast the other day debating the doomsday clock (with@milespo, vs@JBWolfsthal &@SquassoniSharon) trying explain why the clock gives a false sense of nuclear insecurity and why alarmism is bad even when its intent is noble.https://warontherocks.com/2020/02/the-method-or-madness-of-counting-the-seconds-to-doomsday/ …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
It’s telling and crazy if you stand back to see pro-Netanyahu media in Israel warn a US president so far slavishly supportive of their agenda that he risks his US evangelical support by delaying acceptance of Israeli annexation of a chunk of the West Bank.https://www.axios.com/pro-netanyahu-media-jared-kushner-west-bank-be6eb47c-bdb6-4cdb-b620-ec8b9f8a7bd7.html …
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Since it’s trash Kerry day, I’ll say I hold the outrageous view that a John Kerry was a very successful politician who did reasonably in a difficult election in 2004, and a pretty good Secretary of State who has a lot of insight about politics.https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/john-kerry-overheard-discussing-possible-2020-bid-amid-concern-sanders-n1128476 …
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Trump fell out with Bolton for corrupt reasons, but Boltonian policies thrive: confrontation with Iran via tripwire forces in Iraq and Syria, unrealistic offers to North Korea, historically high defense spending, etc. May the bad blood spill into policy.https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/bolton-neoconservatism-impeachment-trump/ …
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People—
@EricLevitz,@HeerJeet,@robertwrighter etc—keep cogently making this argument, and Dem leaders keep ignoring it. What’s funny is Republicans are so enamored of the same hawkish Ukraine policies that they won’t argue Dems clouded a corruption case with a policy beef.https://twitter.com/EmmaMAshford/status/1222907642076631041 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Despite living in a nepotistic bubble surrounded by people paid to pretend he's competent, Kushner can't really think a humiliating offer backed by insults leads to a deal. People say it's all a show for a few donors, but I think there's genuine malice towards Palestinians too.https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1222517105255469056 …
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This is, to be fair, an odd and thinly sourced story. But the general complaint holds without it.
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Deeper and deeper into permanent occupation of various Middle-Eastern states we go under Trump, in defiance of their governments and common sense.https://breakingdefense.com/2020/01/us-builds-several-new-bases-in-iraq-near-iran/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=EBB%2001.28.20&utm_term=Editorial%20-%20Early%20Bird%20Brief …
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Here’s a US Congressman proudly promoting his argument that only combat veterans should have a say on Iran, which is dumb, undemocratic and violently offensive to the US tradition of civil-military relations, but on the other hand would at least exclude the president.https://twitter.com/RepBrianMast/status/1222215443127185418 …
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I picture some recently-promoted intern sprinting down the hall to Kushner's office where the peace plan brain trust is meeting and breathlessly shouting: "we'll build a tunnel; a 70 mile tunnel!," and then everyone pumping fists and high-fiving.pic.twitter.com/ejVfw2zvHN
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The surprising thing about Trump's screw the Palestinians over harder non-peace plan is it took Kushner 3 years. How much did we spend flying him around the Middle-East so his father-in-law and Bibi could have this farcical press conference?https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/28/world/middleeast/peace-plan.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage …
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