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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    22. kol 2019.

    Here's a radical idea to get the yield curve to steepen: - less government - less regulation - more predictable policy - more reward for success

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  3. Germany just experienced a jolt. In the 2 million inhabitant small state of Thuringia (city of Erfurt is in the state), the minority government of green+left+spd couldn't get their candidate elected prime minister. Instead, a member of the FDP gets th job.

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Biden's chances collapse after poor results in Iowa. Bloomberg in second now in the betting markets. Buttigieg surges on Iowa win.

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  5. 5. velj

    I take note all of Congress applauds when rebuilding America’s infrastructure is requested by Trump. I gather the devil will be in the detail and nothing might get done. Why do I get the feeling that similar applause won’t be provided to make a case for sustainable budgets?

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  6. 4. velj

    Biden falling apart, if PredictIt market is to be believed... This may well be the reason why Bloomberg entered the race in the first place; he saw this coming.

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  7. 4. velj

    Iowa news coverage wins... Foxnews, MSNBC & CNN: Iowa top headlines # of times "iowa" on home page: Fox: 24 MSNBC: 40 CNN: 15 # of times "virus" on home page: Foxnews: 18 MSNBC: 2 CNN: 5 barely mentioned.

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  8. 3. velj

    Tuesday morning's dominant news:

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  9. 1. velj

    No, the spread (at least as reported) of the coronavirus hasn't been exponential in recent days, the rate of growth slowing: Jan 30 +17% to 11,374 Jan 29 +26% to 9,700 Jan 28 +28% to 7,700 Jan 27 +36% to 6,000 Jan 26 +63% to 4,400 Jan 25 2,700

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  10. 1. velj

    I mostly experience as a site that steals everything, doesn't bother to ask for permission to republish? As a result, I get annoyed when zerohedge is cited as a source; except now, as they are the news with their suspension.

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  11. 30. sij

    Kudos to . One of the biggest challenges of EU bureaucrats has been to communicate with the people. It looks like she's finding her way to achieve just that.

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  12. 29. sij

    as the press conference concludes, 3m10yr gyrating between 1bps and 3bps

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  13. 29. sij

    why do we tweet during a Fed press conference? Because we have to listen and don't really get other work done anyway. So we might as well. It also helps to gather one's thoughts and be put in one's place if one comes up with a stupid thought.

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  14. 29. sij

    10yr now at 1.58%

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  15. 29. sij

    [and ticked right back to 2bps]

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  16. 29. sij

    3m10yr now at 1bps

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  17. 29. sij

    Powell: we are less trade dependent because of our physical location. Not quite. Australia also has a "physical location" that should suggest a massive internal market, but is externally oriented. IMHO other drivers at least as important

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  18. 29. sij

    Powell answers by explaining that $1.5trn is bottom rather than target. But that doesn't answer the why, other than it seems to work make repo markets run more smoothly.

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  19. 29. sij

    Q: do you have a better sense of what was happening in the repo market. The fact that this question is asked shows Powell has not yet succeeded in explaining what they found. And that, in part, may be due to Fed reacting with sledgehammer, but still only has limited understanding

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  20. 29. sij

    Update: 2bps "steepness" now, 3m Treasuries ticked up

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  21. 29. sij

    Hey journalists, can someone ask Powell whether he'll lower rates if yield curve inverts again?

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