Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
Avik's profile
Avik Roy
Avik Roy
Avik Roy
Verified account
@Avik

Tweets

Avik RoyVerified account

@Avik

President of the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (@FREOPP). Policy Editor @Forbes. Sr. Advisor @BPC_Bipartisan. Pronounced "OH-vick" (thanks mom).

Austin, TX
freopp.org
Joined June 2009

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

      If you want to understand what's going on with #COVID19 right now, the best place to look is Florida, because they do the best job of anyone in terms of data transparency. Note the different age distributions of cases, hospitalizations, & deaths in their regular report.pic.twitter.com/dj1ECANR9s

      279 replies 1,866 retweets 4,359 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

      The full report is here: https://floridadisaster.org/globalassets/covid19/dailies/state_reports_20200625.pdf …. The point is that not all hospitalizations are the same. If you're 85 and you've been hospitalized with #COVID19, the risk of death is 61%. If you're 35-44, the risk is 5%. If you're 25-34, 2%.

      25 replies 211 retweets 595 likes
      Show this thread
      Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

      So, when you see reports about rising numbers of hospitalizations, it's critical to ask: what's the age distribution of the people being hospitalized? We talking about elderly or young people? Without that information, "hospitalizations" statistics are far less useful.

      5:25 AM - 26 Jun 2020
      • 241 Retweets
      • 943 Likes
      • Crissy G Marcy Holman hayley harmon Scarlett 0’Charra Dr. Satellite Ephesians 6:12 ❤💚💜💙💛 Notre Dame College Republicans Unnamed Citizen
      69 replies 241 retweets 943 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          For those who like to see this data visualized, here's a chart of the mortality rate of hospitalized #COVID19 patients by age bracket (in honor of UF grad @GreggGirvan the bars are in retro Gator blue). Not all COVID hospitalizations are created equal.pic.twitter.com/T2ml9WGlzZ

          27 replies 214 retweets 620 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          Here's a similar chart, but this time of the death rate for #COVID19 *cases* in FL. Age trend is even more pronounced, b/c the death rate for COVID *cases* for people under 55 is well below 1%. So when people talk about rising cases, 1st q to ask is: what's the age distribution?pic.twitter.com/DfgdSshPtN

          13 replies 218 retweets 571 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          Finally, here's the age distribution of the *hospitalization* rate of Florida #COVID19 cases. Here again, you see that the frequency of hospitalization is much higher for the elderly.pic.twitter.com/B4LxE8J0aV

          13 replies 119 retweets 368 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          The reason I'm walking you through all of this is because the recent rise in hospitalizations in Florida is driven by younger people. This appears to be true in Texas as well, though I don't think we have data sources in Texas that break out the distribution as well as Florida's.

          67 replies 100 retweets 437 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          Some of my smart & wise friends like @kavitapmd point out that even if your risk of being hospitalized for #COVID19 is low, because you're younger, it's best to not get COVID and avoid that risk. I agree! Please wear masks when near others, wash your hands, distance, etc.

          17 replies 30 retweets 181 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 26 Jun 2020

          One question that remains outstanding: Texas and states like it reopened on May 1. The rise in cases is in the last week or two. So what happened in late May or early June that has lead to rising cases?

          116 replies 109 retweets 403 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Avik Roy‏Verified account @Avik 28 Jun 2020

          Interestingly enough, Minnesota has seen a spike in cases since mid-June — but only in a specific age group: https://m.startribune.com/20-somethings-now-largest-covid-19-population-in-minnesota/571504962/ …pic.twitter.com/A6ilk0IrWu

          11 replies 38 retweets 83 likes
          Show this thread
        9. End of conversation
        1. SamOmulligan‏ @LikeRepublican 26 Jun 2020
          Replying to @Avik

          Of course it makes no difference if the people going in the hospital because of the virus or old as they were going to die soon anyway

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
        1. Greg Moore‏ @GregMooreNH 26 Jun 2020
          Replying to @Avik

          Important factor to consider, though, is that many in LTCF never end up in hospitals. We're seeing many of the LTCF deaths in NH at the facility. Guessing that's also true in FL. So it would count as a death, but not a hospitalization.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
        1. New conversation
        2. PoorWalt‏ @PoorWalt 26 Jun 2020
          Replying to @Avik

          Yes, but what happens when those hospital beds reach capacity and then people, regardless of age, can't get proper treatment?

          8 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Mike Schardein‏ @CoachSchardein 26 Jun 2020
          Replying to @PoorWalt @Avik

          Exactly, it's great that hospitalization stay is shorter but it still requires a used bed. It's wrong to undermined the current morbidity rate at this point.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info