She's gonna win, I'm impartial but...I've been down this road with lots of campaigns(u can google) and I know internal Romney polls can't get him to break low 40s.
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I was using NYC as an example of polling ceilings, as an anecdote, i als did a lot with Anna Greenberg/dad, etc., been down this road before. Exampel again (in nyc) to split the quinn vote there was 'horse/carriage' issue. Dems will keep splitting his vote.
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