By that reasoning, a player that get drafted in an NBA team has a 10% possibility of growing to 7 feet tall during his career.
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It would be interesting if every NBA player going into the draft was 12 inches tall
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So the return on all funds is at least 6.4x (assuming $150k per company and 7% ownership)? That feels...low?
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How are you doing that math?
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($9.3B + $19B)*.07 / ($175k * 1900) | obviously the >$1B companies are worth more than $1B on average, hence the "at least" on the multiple
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Whoops...denominator is $150k * 1900
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With *many* / most outcomes still to be seen (600 of the 1900 companies went through YC in the past 2 years), return already looking to be above 10x.
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Anyone know what those equity stakes look like for the founders net liquidation preferences? Or the outcome for the other 95%?
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At those high valuations, the founders get to build it, but the VCs get to own it.
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Would love to see a cohort view of survival rates and market values. What were the 2016 cohort stats at yr 1, yr 2 vs 2015, 2014, etc
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More importantly, did the founders and early employees have life changing exits.
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conflating VC valuation with value of company.
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Interesting. Where’d you pull this data? Do you think YC has a sustainable edge why or why not
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Austen's source was probably http://www.ycombinator.com/topcompanies/ To be honest, as a software entrepreneur with nowhere near this level of success, it can be a little depressing to read lists like this :(
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Is it YC picking or the network you make through YC that gets you there...?
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YC's really good at attracting future success. They never find successful startups, successful startups find them, and now I have found them too.
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How many of them at the end gone bust after 10 -20 years time frame?
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