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AustenAllred's profile
Austen Allred
Austen Allred
Austen Allred
Verified account
@AustenAllred

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Austen AllredVerified account

@AustenAllred

CEO @LambdaSchool (YC S17): A CS education that's free until you get a job. I have made remarks that I do not agree with.

San Francisco, CA
lambdaschool.com
Joined December 2010

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    1. Austen Allred‏Verified account @AustenAllred Sep 19

      It seems like in the past week I've talked to about 50 people about the upcoming economic recession. Everyone is 100% convinced it's right around the corner.

      26 replies 16 retweets 128 likes
      Show this thread
      Austen Allred‏Verified account @AustenAllred Sep 19

      I have no idea whether it is or isn't right around the corner, but I've never seen so many people so convinced that it is

      4:31 PM - 19 Sep 2018
      • 6 Retweets
      • 63 Likes
      • Chad Huber AK in SF alex Mike Gallop, CFP® Giuliano Giacaglia Feifan Zhou TD Lowe Michael Real Akshay Chalana
      19 replies 6 retweets 63 likes
        1. Zak Slayback‏ @zslayback Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          I think I discount the probability of an actual recession more as “there’s a coming recession” becomes more mainstream.

          0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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        1. Greg Gentschev‏ @gentschev Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          I usually feel better about the economy if a lot of people are expecting a recession. It’s when everyone thinks things are great that I get worried.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Alex Bowles‏ @alexqgb Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Do they have distinct and specific reasons, or is this some combination of "we're due" + a herd instinct?

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Paul Pajo #Insulin4All {#HODL}‏ @pageman Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Here's a talk by @RayDalio https://youtu.be/Nm0m62reFuY  also his free book https://www.principles.com/big-debt-crises/ … and of course this video https://youtu.be/PHe0bXAIuk0 

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. TD Lowe‏ @TD_Lowe Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          It will be far more devastating than 2008.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. BarnBurnerMedia‏ @BarnBurnerMedia Sep 19
          Replying to @TD_Lowe @AustenAllred

          @TD_Lowe can you give some reasons why you think it’s going to be far more devastating? Asking from the perspective of learning, not challenging you. Thanks.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. BarnBurnerMedia‏ @BarnBurnerMedia Sep 20
          Replying to @BarnBurnerMedia @TD_Lowe @AustenAllred

          Hi @TD_Lowe , I’m following up to my comment from yesterday. Interested to hear you elaborate more. Thank you.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. BarnBurnerMedia‏ @BarnBurnerMedia Sep 22
          Replying to @BarnBurnerMedia @TD_Lowe @AustenAllred

          Hey @TD_Lowe, will you have time to answer my response to your tweet? I see you tweeting a lot since then so I would really appreciate any of your time to elaborate more! Thanks @TD_Lowe

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. End of conversation
        1. Collector‏ @realjohn_wu Sep 21
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Many nations are drowning in debt. It won’t end well...

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Alexander Keyser White‏ @KeyserWhite Sep 20
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          What reasoning did you hear?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Dmann‏ @DavidSamuelMann Sep 20
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Swaths of “bitcoin, not blockchain” peeps believe the collapse of is near. Ironically making or losing money makes you realize there is so much more to do. @LambdaSchool becomes much more valuable asset!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Dmann‏ @DavidSamuelMann Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          If you own bitcoin you may be praying on the recession. Nonetheless a recession would make @LambdaSchool even more important and valuable to our civilization!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Kevin Erdmann‏ @KAErdmann Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Do they want the Fed to raise rates or to lower rates in an attempt to avoid it?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Dallen Allred‏ @dallenallred Sep 19
          Replying to @KAErdmann @AustenAllred

          Raise! And hopefully it's not too late... the amount of leverage in the system from unprecedented low interest rates for the last 10 years makes a period of de-leveraging almost a foregone conclusion.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. twalkerp‏ @twalkerp Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Back before trump won talk was at an all time high I felt. But also way back in 2004 was lots of talk about a being in a “bubble on a bubble” specifically those words. But yes...it feels extended and which means it extends a bit more until new cycle down

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Matt Poldberg, Social Media Participant‏ @NotSpamIpromise Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          What were the top/common anticipated causes in that group?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Matt Guttman‏ @mattguttmanorg Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Student loan bubble IS in fact a bubble. Market will need to correct. When? It’s weird. It’s whenever everyone thinks that everyone else thinks that it’s time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Satoshi NakaFOMO‏ @crypto_dunce Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Betting against the masses is a pretty safe bet.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. David Mondrus‏ @mongoosenewyork Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          Taking a contra to that is usually a good idea

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Josh Bickett‏ @josh_bickett Sep 19
          Replying to @AustenAllred

          There are definitely bubbles, but the economy feels strong with real fundamentals as well.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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