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AustenAllred's profile
Austen Allred
Austen Allred
Austen Allred
Verified account
@AustenAllred

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Austen AllredVerified account

@AustenAllred

CEO @LambdaSchool (YC S17): A CS education that's free until you get a job. I have made remarks that I do not agree with.

San Francisco, CA
lambdaschool.com
Joined December 2010

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    Austen Allred‏Verified account @AustenAllred Aug 20

    I was 18 when the last financial crisis hit so I never really *experienced* it but I was old enough to watch it happen. As a result I’ve pretty much been waiting for a crash every day since, all 10 years. Time and markets are a weird thing.

    7:14 PM - 20 Aug 2018
    • 17 Retweets
    • 349 Likes
    • Winning Emergence Cole Mathis Αβρααμάκης Charlie Dake CuddleSlug John Loeber 🎢 Spencer Montgomery R҉a҉s҉h҉e҉e҉d҉ danthedecentralist
    22 replies 17 retweets 349 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Aug 20
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Not to argue any one emotional response to that is more valid than another, but believe the macro to be so, so, so far below the micro that your degree of concern as entrepreneur for macro should be similar to Tuesday’s A/B test specifically. (Adjust a bit upwards for raising.)

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
      3. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Aug 20
        Replying to @patio11 @AustenAllred

        I’ve got a graph going back to 2006 and while you can certainly detect extended illness of yours truly on it, no financial crisis, election, or news story mattered a whit. Feel roughly same about your business. The thesis is true. What would have to change to falsify it?

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. Austen Allred‏Verified account @AustenAllred Aug 21
        Replying to @patio11

        Of course. We do run the risk of being reliant on hiring, so we need enough cash to weather potential storms

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Emanuil Tolev‏ @emanuil_tolev Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Wait what, you're in your late 20s? I had vaguely assumed 40s from your writing without looking at your avi closely. Holy shit.

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Austen Allred‏Verified account @AustenAllred Aug 21
        Replying to @emanuil_tolev

        Lol 28

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Emanuil Tolev‏ @emanuil_tolev Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Oic, I'm 28 in 2 months. Good going - fantastic really! Hope it always continues.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Angie Meeker‏ @angiemeeker Aug 20
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        I was 26, just got married and then had a baby. Had sold everything we owned to go do service work in http://Iraq.in  late 2006. Came back in 2008 and couldn’t figure out why the heck we couldn’t get jobs. That’s when I started web dev.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Angie Meeker‏ @angiemeeker Aug 20
        Replying to @angiemeeker @AustenAllred

        Something in the air right now feels very similar to those years.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Jamar Torres‏ @JamarTorres Aug 20
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        but the impact of it lasted for what it felt like almost 5-6 years.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Lunacy Now‏ @LunacyNow Aug 20
        Replying to @JamarTorres @AustenAllred

        M8 the impact is still ongoing. There has been no recovery. Wages are stagnant. Most Americans live paycheck to paycheck. House prices still have not come down to reasonable levels.

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Tweet unavailable
      5. Lunacy Now‏ @LunacyNow Aug 20
        Replying to @jenabinderup @JamarTorres @AustenAllred

        Middle class life 30% more expensive than 30 yrs ago.https://www.npr.org/2018/06/26/623367320/squeezed-explores-why-america-is-getting-too-expensive-for-the-middle-class …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. Josh You‏ @JustJoshinYou13 Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Whoa, the lighting in your profile pic makes the thumbnail look around 50 years old, so I had assumed you were a lot older.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Daniel Doyon‏ @deadly_onion Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        This cycle is taking forever. It’ll only get to overheated levels once people stop waiting for and talking about an impending crash.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Lunacy Now‏ @LunacyNow Aug 20
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        If you're 28 then you totally did experience it. You watched a generation fail to launch. And totally don't understand what anyone is talking about w/ any alleged recovery or some future crash - the economy is still abysmal.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Burak Yenigun‏ @BurakYngn Aug 20
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        I had started my first job, in an investment bank, on 15th Sep 2008. The day Lehman went bankrupt.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. 1 more reply
      1. Richard Reis‏ @richardreeze Aug 22
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Richard Reis Retweeted Ray Dalio

        You’ll like this then! 😄https://twitter.com/raydalio/status/1032401980419919872?s=21 …

        Richard Reis added,

        Ray DalioVerified account @RayDalio
        If you're interested in my template for understanding big debt crises, you can learn more about it and pre-order at http://www.principles.com/big-debt-crises . pic.twitter.com/ZR7erux920
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. James back row man Oliver‏ @JmsOlvr Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Waiting for that buying opportunity.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Matt Moynihan‏ @MattMoynihan1 Aug 21
        Replying to @AustenAllred

        Trying to time the market has shown to be a bad strategy. Hopefully you haven’t been sitting on the sidelines this entire time

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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