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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    2. velj

    This week I expect a low on Monday, possibly on Tuesday before a rebound into Thursday. The 3,300 and 9,160 levels are still the bullish/bearish line in the sand and the typical target for a high before a decline into Friday and next Tuesday.

    Poništi
  2. The low on Monday led to a rebound into Thursday as expected but my price objectives were exceeded and I exited longs early this morning and am now waiting for a decline to start on Thursday and probably end by next Tuesday.

    Poništi
  3. 3. velj

    There was no lower low on Monday, so I expect the wave C rally to start today possibly after a pull back towards the lows and continue into Thursday with the typical target of 3,300. The may even test the 9,272 highs by Thursday.

    Poništi
  4. 2. velj

    The Nasdaq Call/Put overbought level on the chart and the Up/Down volume overbought level on the chart makes a decline like early Feb 2018 possible or at leasta May 2019 type decline.

    Poništi
  5. 2. velj

    The closed above the 18 level which opens up the possibility of seeing the 21 level on Monday. And the possibility of seeing the 30 to 50 level by the next cycle high of the VIX in May

    Poništi
  6. 2. velj

    The Nsdaq Highs/Lows in white have turned bearish while the Put/Calls in blue have not risen significantly which shows a lot of Call buying on this decline and lower prices in the short and medium term are likely

    Poništi
  7. 2. velj

    The 30 year Bond is likely to reach the 166 area or higher soon which could be bearish for stocks in the short term. The 5/10 year yield curve continues to drop which is normally bearish for stocks in the longer term.

    Poništi
  8. 2. velj

    Last week I expected a low on Monday and a high on Wednesday before a drop into the end of the week. A bearish trend would start with a break below 3,300 on Monday. Either way above it would take a move above 3,333 to turn the trend bullish.

    Poništi
  9. 30. sij

    One other valid EW path would be an A-B-C with a B low on Monday the 3rd and a C up into next Thursday before a Wave 3 down to start near Feb 12th and ending near Thursday the 20th which is an occasional pre-New Moon panic low.

    Poništi
  10. 30. sij

    From an EW view, we could have another big rebound as a C of an A-B-C before a big decline and the NDX overperforming could be a sign of that. The reason another big rebound is unlikley is the fact that the should not exceed 9,160 to stay bearish

    Poništi
  11. 30. sij

    We are still on track for a low next Monday the 4th. especially since the Put/Call ratios are not climbing at all which shows a lot of calls still being bought.

    Poništi
  12. 28. sij

    The Put/Calls are bearish and the Nasdaq Highs/Lows just gave a sell signal. The A/D and McClellans are bearish and not quite oversold. The should pull back to about 15 and the is turning bearish

    Poništi
  13. 28. sij

    Tuesday should be weak and Wednesday stronger. and which works out to a weak rebound on Wednesday before the next drop into Friday and next Monday

    Poništi
  14. 27. sij

    The A/D and McClellans are not quite oversold yet so another move down by Friday is quite possible.

    Poništi
  15. 27. sij

    Not much change in the New Highs/Lows since last Friday so a rebound into Wednesday is quite possible.

    Poništi
  16. 27. sij

    The is well above 16 and even above 18 with the next target near 21 by the end of the week?

    Poništi
  17. 27. sij

    So far 20 pts more down that the last correction of 84 pts. The trend appears to be turning down.

    Poništi
  18. 27. sij

    3,300 is the new bullish/bearish line in the sand and the typical rebound level by Tuesday.

    Poništi
  19. 27. sij

    The key level is 3,300 and we must only break it intrady on Monday. Closing below 3,300 is a sell signal with only a rebound by Wednesay before a bigger drop by Friday.

    Poništi
  20. 27. sij

    This week I expect a low on Mon and a high on Wed before a drop into the end of the week. A bearish trend would start with a false break below 3,300 on Mon. Either way above 3,333 the trend would turn bullish.

    Poništi

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