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ArmsControlWonk's profile
Jeffrey Lewis
Jeffrey Lewis
Jeffrey Lewis
Verified account
@ArmsControlWonk

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Jeffrey LewisVerified account

@ArmsControlWonk

Author of "The 2020 Commission Report," a novel about a nuclear war with North Korea (@HMHCo, 2018) http://2020commission.com  Rep'ed by @MWLiterary

Carmel, CA
armscontrolwonk.com
Joined March 2009

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    Jeffrey Lewis‏Verified account @ArmsControlWonk 10 Jul 2017

    Jeffrey Lewis Retweeted Ankit Panda

    That's more or less our range estimate too -- 7,000-10,000 km.https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/884502134552657920 …

    Jeffrey Lewis added,

    Ankit PandaVerified account @nktpnd
    Replying to @nktpnd
    First, current working USG estimate of Hwasong-14's range is *7,500 to 9,500 kilometers.* That brings west coast metros into range.
    1:04 PM - 10 Jul 2017
    • 65 Retweets
    • 55 Likes
    • GAMMA_ECI_X1 Eduardo Escárez Rajan Bansal The Infidel ☠️#CruzCrew ☮️🇺🇸🇮🇱 Mark Levels GT Arapaho415 tim the tool man tyler Vulcan🖖Writer✒Mom💁
    10 replies 65 retweets 55 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Richard Smith‏ @ricmsmith 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        I’m curious, is it possible to estimate accuracy?

        3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Jeffrey Lewis‏Verified account @ArmsControlWonk 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ricmsmith

        No, not unless we knew where they were aiming.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Richard Smith‏ @ricmsmith 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        Thank you!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. StillTryingToDecide‏ @Carmen50 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        Guess I should build a bunker then.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Deep Time‏ @rstackjr 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @Carmen50 @ArmsControlWonk

        Why? We've had Russian and Chinese missiles aimed at us for decades. And NK realizes an attack on us will result in wiping them off the map

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. StillTryingToDecide‏ @Carmen50 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @rstackjr @ArmsControlWonk

        I know but their leaders/gov more stable

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Deep Time‏ @rstackjr 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @Carmen50 @ArmsControlWonk

        Putin scares me far more than Kim Jon Un. NK wants the deterrent to keep the US from invading. Putin wants to take down the West.

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      6. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Robert Dingolfinger‏ @BobMrnurse70 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        How accurate does a nuke need to be? They're able to consistently drop missiles in the Sea of Japan in roughly the same area

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Keith A. Eddins‏ @EugeneinOregon 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @BobMrnurse70 @ArmsControlWonk

        And you've hit on a key question in the old counter-force vs. counter-value debate: What's your objective? Determines the accuracy you need.

        0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Night Mists  🌜 🍁 🌻 🌃 🌻 🍁 🌛‏ @Nitemists 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        Is that w/a payload

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Simon Zerafa‏ @SimonZerafa 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @Nitemists @ArmsControlWonk

        Indeed. What sort of payload at those sort of ranges?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Sarah Loving‏ @SarahLoving 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        Why are the rocket science literate responding to *70* minutes on a launchpad as significant? Fuel burned = larger target range = ahhhh?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Kristen  🌱 Wiggins‏ @kcdubz 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        That's depressing.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Kron‏ @Kronykal 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        What do you think of this analysis?http://breakingdefense.com/2017/07/this-is-not-the-icbm-you-are-looking-for-detailed-analysis-of-north-korean-missile/ …

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jones‏ @MrJ0nesy 10 Jul 2017
        Replying to @ArmsControlWonk

        Was wondering about accuracy too

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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