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In a new, upbeat report, @jpmorgan projects 3.3% GDP growth for #Argentina in 2018, and inflation dropping to 15.2% (reflecting continued progress, though not enough @fedesturze wizardry to meet the @BancoCentral_AR's 12% target).
In terms of the fiscal deficit, @jpmorgan sees the extraordinary session of congress as consequential. @mauriciomacri's pension legislation under review today, for example, would produce savings equal to 0.6% of GDP in 2018. #Argentina spends nearly 10% of GDP on social security.
But in the short term, @jpmorgan analysts say, @mauriciomacri's proposed tax cuts will reduce overall revenues, leading to a primary deficit equal to 3.4% of GDP in 2018 (just above the 3.2% target) and almost $33 billion in additional borrowing.
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