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Disappointed you didn't predict @mauriciomacri's 2015 victory? Don't be. Carlos Pagni, a highly regarded @LANACION columnist, in remarks at @The_Dialogue yesterday, said the #Cambiemos upset was a bigger surprise than Trump's election and Brexit. #Macri2años
Though economic troubles might have hurt @CFKArgentina's chosen successor, Pagni said the election, and October's midterms, were all about public demand for institutional reform, including of the security and intelligence services, and the courts. #Macri2añospic.twitter.com/zTeIMmr5KK
The focus on institutions, Pagni said, helps @mauriciomacri because his economic policies have had mixed results. On the other hand, Pagni said, the president's good governance credibility would be tarnished if he ends up with even "a single stain on his shirt." #Macri2años
So far, Pagni said, @mauriciomacri has been surprisingly successful at navigating Argentina's political system, despite lacking a majority in either house of congress. #Macri2años
However, Pagni predicts a hard slog with the next set of reforms. For example, Peronist governors and labor leaders who lend support to @mauriciomacri on labor reform, albeit critical for attracting investment, will be boosting #Cambiemos and bruising Peronism. #Macri2años
All in all, Pagni seemed upbeat about @mauriciomacri's performance in #Argentina, though he made only one modest prediction about future success for #Cambiemos: the president will likely be the first non-Peronist to complete his term since 1928. #Macri2años
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