In #Argentina, " electoral incentives seemed to be trumping concerns about guaranteeing stability," @CefeidasGroup writes in a new report, forecasting a "bumpy" period leading to the Oct. 27 elections. 1/
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Meanwhile, President
@mauriciomacri's unpopularity is burdening Juntos por el Cambio candidates. Governor@mariuvidal, for example, trailed@Kicillofok by a stunning 18 percentage points in Buenos Aires Province in the primaries. 2/Show this thread
And in the City of Buenos Aires, Mayor Horacio Rodríguez Larreta is no longer expected to win reelection in the first round, @CefeidasGroup reports. 3/
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Meanwhile, the government's emergency economic measures, announced after the primary, such as a minimum wage hike and a gasoline price freeze, "are likely too little too late and unlikely to meaningfully increase support for Macri,"
@CefeidasGroup reports. 4/Show this thread -
And though the government hoped voters would focus on
@CFKArgentina and security, "the campaign now feels almost irreversibly focused on economic issues,"@CefeidasGroup reports. 5/Show this thread
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