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In #Argentina, " electoral incentives seemed to be trumping concerns about guaranteeing stability," @CefeidasGroup writes in a new report, forecasting a "bumpy" period leading to the Oct. 27 elections. 1/
Meanwhile, President @mauriciomacri's unpopularity is burdening Juntos por el Cambio candidates. Governor @mariuvidal, for example, trailed @Kicillofok by a stunning 18 percentage points in Buenos Aires Province in the primaries. 2/
And in the City of Buenos Aires, Mayor Horacio Rodríguez Larreta is no longer expected to win reelection in the first round, @CefeidasGroup reports. 3/
Meanwhile, the government's emergency economic measures, announced after the primary, such as a minimum wage hike and a gasoline price freeze, "are likely too little too late and unlikely to meaningfully increase support for Macri," @CefeidasGroup reports. 4/
And though the government hoped voters would focus on @CFKArgentina and security, "the campaign now feels almost irreversibly focused on economic issues," @CefeidasGroup reports. 5/
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