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In @AmerQuarterly, @ArgentinaProj Director @benjamingedan and researcher @NicSaldias say #Argentina's former finance minister, Roberta Lavagna, "has created the potential for an electoral upset in October." https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/can-roberto-lavagna-unify-argentina … 1/
Given #Argentina's economic struggles, Lavagna's background is attractive: he helped rebuild the country's economy following its 2001 collapse, and led negotiations with creditors and @IMFNews, @benjamingedan and @NicSaldias observe. 2/pic.twitter.com/De5BbC0g5G
For that reason, @RLavagna is polling ahead of his younger, ambitious competitors in Peronism's moderate wing, @UrtubeyJM and @SergioMassa, @benjamingedan and @NicSaldias note. (He attracted 13% in a recent @SynopsisConsult poll, compared to 6% for Massa and 2% for Urtubey.) 3/
Beyond his CV, @RLavagna also differentiates his campaign by its pluralism: "He is building a broad coalition that includes traditional Peronists, socialists, Radicals and progressives," and promises a “national unity” government, @benjamingedan and @NicSaldias report. 4/pic.twitter.com/VAi19xysjE
So far, @RLavagna remains "a long shot," according to @benjamingedan and @NicSaldias, as @SergioMassa shows no signs of ceding the political center. 5/pic.twitter.com/cAl9Tn3Pma
But should President Mauricio Macri suffer additional economic setbacks, @RLavagna could elbow his way into a 2nd round. In a head-to-head contest against @CFKArgentina, @benjamingedan and @NicSaldias write, "Lavagna would be Argentina’s next president." @mauriciomacri
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