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Thanks to the threat of a 3rd @CFKArgentina term, "muy probablemente el electorado de Cambiemos no se mueva," @SynopsisConsult writes in a new analysis, but @mauriciomacri still needs a rapid economic recovery to win > 50% in a ballotage. #Argentina 1/
In other words, though #Argentina's economic troubles "no le mueve el piso al gobierno, si pudiera estar bajándole el techo," according to @SynopsisConsult. 2/
Thanks to the controversial pension reform in late 2017 and the peso crisis last year, President Macri's approval rating has fallen from 53% to 30% in the @SynopsisConsult survey. 3/
As for former President Fernández de Kirchner, her support is unlikely to fall before October, regardless of worsening legal entanglements, @SynopsisConsult writes. That means economic troubles could plausibly produce a 2nd round featuring @CFKArgentina + a moderate Peronist. 4/
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