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1) Though inflation is slowing in #Argentina, thanks to tight monetary policy and a recession, inflation expectations are rising, with analysts queried by @BancoCentral_AR expecting, on average, inflation of 29.3% this year. http://www.bcra.gov.ar/Pdfs/PublicacionesEstadisticas/REM181228%20Resultados%20web.pdf …pic.twitter.com/7S2vqSIUEZ
2) That would still be far below the estimated 2018 level (50%). Meanwhile, in a research note, @jpmorgan projects expectations to fall next month, noting that the upward adjustment likely reflected renewed increases in public utility prices.
3) As #Argentina reduces subsidies, the cost of public transportation will rise 40% this quarter, on top of scheduled price hikes for electricity, natural gas and water, designed to eliminate the budget deficit and comply with #IMF requirements.
4) Another challenge to continued disinflation in #Argentina: "existing inertia," says Itaú, such as high negotiated wage increases.
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