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3) In #Argentina, though economic activity has been correlated with global trade growth, exports have contributed relatively little to growth, @Citi observes. That said, #SouthAmerica is highly exposed to #China, which could see its demand for commodities drop in a trade war.
4) The countries in #LatinAmerica most exposed to #China (and therefore most vulnerable to falling Chinese demand and resulting declines in commodity prices) are #Chile, #Peru, #Brazil, #Uruguay and #Argentina, according to @Citi.
5) Notably, despite speculation about a possible upside for #LatinAmerica of a trade war (e.g., trade diversion, such as greater demand from #China for commodities previously purchased from the U.S.), @Citi sees no long-term advantages.
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