It is devilishly hard to determine whether a historian's account is correct, or equivalent to a CNBC personality explaining market moves..
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Replying to @AngloRemnant
..meaning, they are post hoc fitting a linear narrative structure to an event that evolved much more randomly in real-time..
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.."History as a stochastic process" actually seems like it could be a useful framework to examine confidence in a theory's explanatory power
2:22 PM - 8 May 2016
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