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Prikvačeni tweet
To count an animal population if you can't catch them all: capture some, mark them, release, and capture again. The ratio of new vs already seen tells you something about the total number. Shown here is iterated mark-and-recapture with a Bayesian updates to belief about pop sizepic.twitter.com/jZF7HXddiq
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Not sure how interesting that is, but it occurred to me today and I found it slightly surprising. That average error factor is for two numbers with mantissas uniform over [0, 10). In the worst case, the factor is ~1.74
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To compute a geometric mean in normalized scientific notation, take the arithmetic mean of exponents and the geometric mean of mantissas. But for a quick mental approximation, take the arithmetic mean of *both*. The result is an overestimate, on average by a factor of only ~1.09pic.twitter.com/VNtJXUzcw7
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Andrew M. Webb proslijedio/la je Tweet
No individual colour making up this wave travels faster than the grid lines, but the sum of all components appears to outrace the grid. This is how “group velocities” can exceed the speed of light without carrying information. http://www.gregegan.net/APPLETS/20/20.html …pic.twitter.com/aSX5iK8Bvn
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A different version of the video comparing the speed of a hummingbird and the rotation rate of the fastest known pulsar. (I added a marker to the equator so you can see when it completes a full rotation, and the animation starts much faster.)pic.twitter.com/k0LMBGSufR
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There is a neutron star that rotates 716 times per second. How fast is that? In this illustration, it rotates 9 times while a hummingbird executes half a flap of its wings. (h/t
@physicsJ) (Hummingbird footage from the Slow Mo Guys: https://www.youtube.com/user/theslowmoguys …)pic.twitter.com/65deNoit3RHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Andrew M. Webb proslijedio/la je Tweet
Because there is nothing more useful than a mathematical trick, and thanks to your feedback, find the updated ML trick slide -:) Please RT, add even more to the list !!!
#MachineLearningTrickpic.twitter.com/S0EL3Jh7le
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Andrew M. Webb proslijedio/la je Tweet
Sharing an interesting (and famous!) population sampling problem with kids thanks to
@panlepan and@AndrewM_Webb https://mikesmathpage.wordpress.com/2020/01/05/sharing-an-interesting-and-famous-population-sampling-problem-with-kids/ …#math#mathchatHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Apologies for tweeting/deleting this a couple of times, there were a couple of mistakes in there.
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2^86 is conjectured to be the greatest power of two whose decimal does not contain the digit zero. Here's an informal argument showing that if you can treat the digits as random then the conjecture is probably true.pic.twitter.com/TftAfj1zsC
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Andrew M. Webb proslijedio/la je Tweet
Small differences are magnified in chaotic systems. This also makes it hard to reverse numerical simulations. In the forward sim, 2 pendulums are close until t=15. At t=22, velocities are reversed. In reverse simulation, they come together from t=15 to t=10, then diverge againpic.twitter.com/XDMMjiQqot
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Enough people asked for details that I wrote something about Bayesian iterated mark-and-recapture here: http://www.awebb.info/blog/iterated_mark ….https://twitter.com/AndrewM_Webb/status/1212673397106388992 …
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Assumption made here: the animals move around enough between measurements that you can treat each capture event as a random selection from the population, independent of the previous capture
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It's funny that the first 'measurement' is much less informative than subsequent ones: it just tells you that the population is at least as large as the number of animals you've captured.
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The left side shows a crude simulation of animals moving around, which are periodically captured. Colour indicates number of times captured. Right side is a distribution describing belief over the population size.
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Based on the 28 countries that appear in these two: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_social_welfare_spending#Per_capita … https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_body_mass_index …
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I know I probably shouldn't even engage, but: here's some boring brutal actual data. There's actually a weak negative correlation for both men and women (coefficients -0.02 and -0.08) between welfare spending as a percentage of GDP and mean BMI. https://twitter.com/StefanMolyneux/status/1211502330971066369 …pic.twitter.com/hg5LVZNBHC
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(Pre-empting replies, I'm sure the extent of maths education in CS programmes varies greatly!)
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Skills that need to be taught in undergraduate computer science curricula: - mathshttps://twitter.com/bencbartlett/status/1204886569124941824 …
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