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AndresFreundPol's profile
Andres Freund (Pol)
Andres Freund (Pol)
Andres Freund (Pol)
@AndresFreundPol

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Andres Freund (Pol)

@AndresFreundPol

Postgres developer, working at Microsoft. Also: politics nerd, expat German in the US. Account about politics, not tech. For the latter look to @AndresFreundTec

San Francisco, CA
Joined January 2017

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 Apr 3
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      Nate Silver Retweeted Benjy Sarlin

      Yeah, for sure. Those all seem like big lifts.https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1246150809160744965 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Benjy SarlinVerified account @BenjySarlin
      What’s so frustrating is these expert scenarios for reopening are all contingent on so many things getting done — unified command structure, mass testing, surge in manufacturing — that are so far huge problems https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1246148312488710145 …
      7 replies 29 retweets 236 likes
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    2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 Apr 3
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      I guess I think about it like this. * Early June is probably a realistic over-under for when things start to open up anyway, for better or worse * Setting a clear date would provide for a focal point, and the benefits of that may outweigh losing flexibility.

      41 replies 39 retweets 311 likes
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      Andres Freund (Pol)‏ @AndresFreundPol Apr 3
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      Replying to @NateSilver538

      Hard to believe that setting a date now makes sense. For one, when the first measures can be relaxed is going to vary between areas. We also don't have a good picture of what the current spread is (a hazy picture of the infections from a while ago at best).

      12:19 PM - 3 Apr 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Andres Freund (Pol)‏ @AndresFreundPol Apr 3
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          Replying to @AndresFreundPol @NateSilver538

          But most importantly, given the current state of the response, it's foolhardy to rely on optimistic predictions about quality of handling. Seems much more a case for something condition based (area can allow non-risk pop return to work if %tested > xx, etc).

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