A few thoughts on the state election in the Hesse region of Germany. (Thread.)
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Germany's two big traditional parties, the Christian Democrats (CDU) and the Social Democrats (SPD) are the big losers. Each party is at a historic low.pic.twitter.com/mV8LjDeqno
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There are also two big winners: * The far-right AfD, which is now represented in every state parliament in the country as well as the Bundestag. * And the Greens, who are now a serious competitor to the SPD even in its traditional heartlands.
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This raises a few big questions: Will the CDU (and other center-right parties in PR systems) find the same fate as social democratic parties? Ten years ago, it looked like social democracy had unique problems. Now it seems like it may have been a harbigner for all big parties.
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Replying to @Yascha_Mounk
I'm not sure how much inference can be drawn from CDU's demise. So much of that was driven by the CSU intentionally blowing up as many things as possible, and moving things as hard right as possible. I'm not sure there's proper equivalents to that.
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Still maintaining that the political situation in Germany would looks massively different if Merkel had had the guts and pulled off having a grand coalition without including the CSU a few years back.
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