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Alrenous's profile
Alrenous
Alrenous
Alrenous
@Alrenous

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Alrenous

@Alrenous

A gadget has occurred in this error. Fiat vox veritatis ruat caelum.

alrenous.blogspot.com
Joined January 2012

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    Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10

    No one said it straight out yet. Retroactively altering your model to fit predictions is not science. It is the opposite of science. Climatologists are the opposite of scientists.

    1:29 AM - 10 Nov 2018
    • 5 Retweets
    • 15 Likes
    • Bagger Vance McGuirk BatteryHorse Žero HP Lovecraft FurredIntellect Nahtzee Smurf Nullus Maximus Accy Covfefe Anon Paul Senis
    5 replies 5 retweets 15 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10

        If your priest begins their sermon by pissing on the altar, you suspect maybe it's not a priest. If a soldier ties down their squadmate and shits on their chest, you think maybe it's an imposter.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10

        When a scientist fits their model to retrodiction rather than prediction, they are an abomination.

        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10

        You made a specific, testable prediction. The prediction failed.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10

        Failure to accept the falsification proves that the models were never intended to be predictive. They were never science. That's it. Game over. You're done.

        2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10
        Replying to @CynicCaptain @BeigeShiba

        Peasants say what they're told to say.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. sglity ( ❤️)‏ @sglity_ Nov 10
        Replying to @Alrenous @BeigeShiba

        fit *data* you mean? I'm not sure I've ever seen someone come up with *predictions*, and *then* try to come up with a model for that.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. crepuscular dispatch‏ @schakalsynthetc Nov 10
        Replying to @sglity_ @Alrenous @BeigeShiba

        that's the clue they're not really predictions but conclusions masquerading as predictions.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. crepuscular dispatch‏ @schakalsynthetc Nov 10
        Replying to @schakalsynthetc @sglity_ and

        the steps, in order 1. decide what "should" happen 2. come up with model in which what you've already decided "should" happen is exactly what is predicted 3. fit data to model by any means necessary it's the exact reverse of scientific method.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      5. Alrenous‏ @Alrenous Nov 10
        Replying to @schakalsynthetc @sglity_ @BeigeShiba

        4. (3.1?) When actual measurements contradict the model, adjust the model with random BS until they don't, then claim the random BS is fact because the model now 'predicts' the measurements.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. The Gang‏ @TheGangTries Nov 10
        Replying to @Alrenous @BeigeShiba

        Scientism is the biggest religion today.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. BatteryHorse‏ @BatteryHorse Nov 10
        Replying to @Alrenous

        I don't know much (no, seriously: I know very very little) but I know that fitting this large number of external parameters to an already large complex model is.... hardpic.twitter.com/6NN45YD5KR

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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