Case numbers and death numbers are increasing again, driven by increases in many states but particularly large increases in California. 2/11
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.@IHME_UW new release projects 562,000 cumulative deaths on April 1, 2021. This represents 262,000 additional deaths from December 14 to April 1. 1/11pic.twitter.com/CseuRenpqO
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We expect the national daily death toll to continue increasing to a peak of over 3,750 in mid-January. 3/11pic.twitter.com/rS8uVCLVQS
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Vaccination rollout is expected to save 34,500 lives by April 1st. But the most important measures to keep the death toll down in the next months will be expanding mask use and re-imposition of some mandates in states with severe stress on hospital systems. 4/11
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Effective R, computed using cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, is greater than 1 in 36 states. 5/11pic.twitter.com/h4CMHSClIa
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@IHME_UW estimates that 17% of people in the US have been infected as of December 14. 6/11pic.twitter.com/tw7l583i1g
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Mobility last week was 28% lower than the pre-COVID-19 baseline. Mobility had been declining over a three-week period but leveled out in the last week. 7/11pic.twitter.com/bv9JUB9GuV
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Detailed mobility analysis shows that visits to restaurants, which had increased in the summer and fall, declined again in late November, and there has been a more marked decline in visits to bars. 8/11pic.twitter.com/A31lWsTjnv
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As of December 14, we estimated that 73% of people always wore a mask when leaving their home, about the same as last week. 9/11pic.twitter.com/KNHsltiylN
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47 states will have high or extreme stress on hospital beds at some point in December through April. 49 states will have high or extreme stress on ICU capacity in December through April. 10/11pic.twitter.com/DTrUs9a9v5
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In this week’s release, we have reflected the survey evidence that 25% of those surveyed indicated that they intend to stop wearing a mask after receiving the second dose of their vaccination. 11/11 http://www.healthdata.org/sites/default/files/files/Projects/COVID/briefing_US_20201217.pdf …
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