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AliHMokdad's profile
Ali H. Mokdad
Ali H. Mokdad
Ali H. Mokdad
@AliHMokdad

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Ali H. Mokdad

@AliHMokdad

@UW Chief Strategy Officer for #PopulationHealth (@UW_PHI), Director of Middle Eastern Initiatives at @IHME_UW, Professor of Health Metrics Sciences @UWMedicine

Seattle, WA
healthdata.org/about/ali-mokd…
Joined June 2017

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    Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

    .@IHME_UW now projects 410,451 #COVID19 deaths by Jan 1st, this is about 224,000 deaths from now until the end of the year. These are not numbers or statistics but family member, friends, and loved ones. 1/14https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=total-deaths&tab=trend …

    5:02 PM - 3 Sep 2020
    • 219 Retweets
    • 308 Likes
    • pitchinafit Oksana Yonan Jim Stemper farehike Ivis Bohlen tahfromslc Cullen Martin Dr. Jim Wilson KJW WesternWalking
    144 replies 219 retweets 308 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Increasing mask use remains an extraordinary opportunity for the US, 95% mask use would decrease the death toll to 288,000. This is 122,000 lives saved, a 54% reduction in the deaths expected from now until the end of the year. 2/14pic.twitter.com/VZtMctPRnd

        18 replies 54 retweets 111 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000. This would be 210,000 more deaths than our reference scenario. 3/14pic.twitter.com/n4ED5mBRo4

        66 replies 41 retweets 79 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        .@IHME_UW expects the daily death rate in the US to reach nearly 3000 a day in December due to seasonality and declining vigilance of the public. 4/14pic.twitter.com/dT6RsIhAJF

        11 replies 29 retweets 59 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Reported cases peaked in the end of July at around 70,000 cases per day and has subsequently declined to around 45,000 cases per day. 5/14pic.twitter.com/BBPOdb5McB

        3 replies 12 retweets 34 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Given that the current lag between death rates and case rates appears to have lengthened to more than 2 weeks, deaths have only started to decline after the middle of August and are now averaging around 850 per day. 6/14pic.twitter.com/ICVYt3SvTA

        3 replies 11 retweets 37 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        .@IHME_UW data shows that #COVID19 remains the second leading cause of death in the nation. 7/14pic.twitter.com/MnxKHWzot9

        4 replies 24 retweets 61 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Effective R is above 1 in 10 states: ID, UT, KS, OK, AR, AL, VA, WV, IL and IA. Increasing transmission in these states, is less than the decline in more populous states such as TX, FL, CA contributing to the national decline in cases. 8/14pic.twitter.com/8F5EudJVYn

        1 reply 15 retweets 39 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        .@IHME_UW estimates that 10% or more of the population in 8 states has been infected with #COVID19: Arizona, Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, Delaware, New Jersey, New York and Massachusetts. 9/14pic.twitter.com/EhO3r2zb9I

        2 replies 14 retweets 35 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        The death rate is over 4 per million per day in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Georgia, Florida and South Carolina. 10/14pic.twitter.com/gpYu7jqIEw

        1 reply 5 retweets 27 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        National mobility levels continued to increase slowly in the last week. With increases in mobility seen in states such as California, New York, New Jersey, Nevada and Arizona. 11/14pic.twitter.com/y6j9ve9BCh

        1 reply 7 retweets 27 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Mask use continues to decline from a peak in early August. Declines are notable throughout the Midwest. This trend is coupled with an increase in cases in some states such as Illinois and Iowa. 12/14pic.twitter.com/siK2dm8bvw

        11 replies 28 retweets 46 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        Likely reflecting the declining number of individuals presenting with symptoms, national testing rates continue to decline slowly from a peak in early August. 13/14pic.twitter.com/RKrEVC8aiN

        1 reply 4 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Ali H. Mokdad‏ @AliHMokdad 3 Sep 2020

        .@IHME_UW projections assume that several states will reach 8 deaths per million per day before Jan 1st and will re-impose mandates for 6 weeks. 14/14pic.twitter.com/zGAtUMrjvT

        18 replies 13 retweets 39 likes
        Show this thread
      15. End of conversation

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