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Alex_Roarty's profile
Alex Roarty
Alex Roarty
Alex Roarty
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@Alex_Roarty

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Alex RoartyVerified account

@Alex_Roarty

Covering Democrats for @mcclatchydc. Contrary to popular belief, not from Pennsylvania. @cumberlink alum. Co-host of @dcbubblepod!

Washington, DC
mcclatchydc.com
Joined March 2009

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    1. Nick Riccardi‏Verified account @NickRiccardi Nov 8
      Replying to @Alex_Roarty @ShaneGoldmacher

      The election was a wave. It was very good for Ds. But it ran into obstacles that foretell potential future D problems (FL, OH) just as the 2010 wave foundered in places that spoke to future R problems (CA, CO, NV)

      8 replies 18 retweets 41 likes
    2. Alex Roarty‏Verified account @Alex_Roarty Nov 8
      Replying to @NickRiccardi @ShaneGoldmacher

      that's a good way of looking at it. could argue that the distressing thing for Dems even in areas I think they can consider big-pic successes -- Texas and Georgia -- is they still face a ceiling there that sits below a winning margin

      3 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
    3. Nick Riccardi‏Verified account @NickRiccardi Nov 8
      Replying to @Alex_Roarty @ShaneGoldmacher

      Yes but those places are icing on the cake. They don’t need those states in their column yet if they win back PA MI WI.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Alex Roarty‏Verified account @Alex_Roarty Nov 8
      Replying to @NickRiccardi @ShaneGoldmacher

      true, though man, it's hard for me to imagine Dems relying exclusively on winning WI-PA-MI for the presidency. PA, I could see that getting away from Trump. But the other two could be really damn close.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    5. Nick Riccardi‏Verified account @NickRiccardi Nov 8
      Replying to @Alex_Roarty @ShaneGoldmacher

      Yes of course. They can try tx az and ga as well. Just as Trump would be smart to make a run at MN and NH

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Shane Goldmacher‏Verified account @ShaneGoldmacher Nov 8
      Replying to @NickRiccardi @Alex_Roarty

      I agree in the House this was a wave. How many Clinton-House GOP districts are even left? And Senate map heavily tilted badly for GOP from the get-go. But my broader point is that D hopes that Trumpism would somehow be proved a one-time aberration for the country were squashed.

      5 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    7. Greg Dworkin‏Verified account @DemFromCT Nov 8
      Replying to @ShaneGoldmacher @NickRiccardi @Alex_Roarty

      did D's really think that? did D's really think racism is gone? It's a wyrm, never killed, just chopped to pieces for a while

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    8. Shane Goldmacher‏Verified account @ShaneGoldmacher Nov 8
      Replying to @DemFromCT @NickRiccardi @Alex_Roarty

      Those weren't the hopes of top party strategists, per se. They knew that was unlikely. But talk to rank and file Dems and activists and it was real. Btw, I don't recall Dems winning big governorships, or much of anything, in 2010 like Rs did in 2018.

      5 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Taniel‏Verified account @Taniel Nov 8
      Replying to @ShaneGoldmacher @DemFromCT and

      All seems like a fairly clear parallel, actually. Senate was a disappointment for GOP in 2010 with Reid & Murray & Bennet surviving (besides DE) and so Dems keeping majority for another 4 yrs. Ds won CT, MN, CO & IL squeakers for Gov that GOP aimed for, & CA was competitive win.

      1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes
    10. Taniel‏Verified account @Taniel Nov 8
      Replying to @Taniel @ShaneGoldmacher and

      It seems we're relying on OH & IA's (apparently-former) status as swing states to make them as big symbols of a good GOP night; but for that matter CO had just started getting blueish by 2010, MN and IL are huge, and CA was a gain of a huge trifecta. FL does loom large this time.

      2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
      Alex Roarty‏Verified account @Alex_Roarty Nov 8
      Replying to @Taniel @ShaneGoldmacher and

      to that point: if we're talkingabout some sort of median voter of the american electorate, the Democrats won that guy or gal (and then some). the thing we're simultaneously finding out is that there really aren't that many of those median voters in Iowa or Ohio anymore (or fl?)

      8:42 PM - 8 Nov 2018
      • 4 Likes
      • Nick Riccardi PhillyDemMPA Richard Skinner Greg Dworkin
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nick Riccardi‏Verified account @NickRiccardi Nov 8
          Replying to @Alex_Roarty @Taniel and

          Also that the median voter doesnt get you 51 senate seats, or even to 271 in presidentials. That’s the D problem this election exposed.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Nick Riccardi‏Verified account @NickRiccardi Nov 8
          Replying to @NickRiccardi @Alex_Roarty and

          Ok wheels up let’s continue this tomorrow until Maricopa drops more ballots at 7 pm eastern

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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