Or look at the Don Sherwood district in 2006 // similar PVI to Collins, less serious of a scandal. #PA10
He lost — and it wasn’t close.
Plenty more examples where the impact of scandal more severe a decade ago than it is now. Never said it had no impact.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1060586112949907456 …
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wrote a story about this last year. It's really difficult to suss out exactly what has and hasn't changed. Cuz of course, scandal still matters, and can still single-handily knock out a politician. https://www.miamiherald.com/latest-news/article178355351.html … but ...
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Best test for this IMO is Wisconsin. In 2014, Walker pounded his Dem opponent for plagiarizing part of her jobs plan. In 2018, he pounded his Dem opponent for plagiarizing part of his budget language. One win followed by one loss.
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