going on ad buys and public polls alone, hard to make sense of House map right now. you might say thing were tilting more in the GOP's direction (and some Rs are adamant it has), but then they have to rush back into #oh01, which a few weeks ago seemed as if it had slipped off maphttps://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1054794292877844481 …
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... still holding out hope that they could hold their Senate majority. The range there was still pretty damn wide, obviously, given what happened
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True, I’m just thinking that Democrats are leading the generic ballot by 8+ points and yet there aren’t 25 seats where you’d give Democrats the clear edge, but also like 45+ where it wouldn’t shock you if they won it on E-Day.
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On October 21, 2010, Crystal Ball had 30 lean R or Likely R seats (that had been D Seat) and the Rs needed 37 for a majority. That required 7 toss ups. Today it has 20 lean D or better (that had been R) and the Ds need 5. http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2010102001/ …
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I only cite that for context. I'm not sure it tells us anything beyond that uncertainty may not weight against the consensus favorites obtaining a majority.
End of conversation
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