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One thing I have realised is that I have a different prior probability for doping in sport than the average person. My prior is that *most* elite athletes are a) either doping, b) around doping, or c) know of those who are doping. So I base my judgements using that baseline.
Thank goodness the concept of priors has proliferated, otherwise people might feel obligated to actually present arguments of some sort.
Never go half-Bayesian!https://twitter.com/The_Equationist/status/1411439689907662849?s=19 …
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