The Legendary Dragon Alephwyr, named Alephwyr, BA

Then you've foretold your own future.

yeah, by historically necessary conditions, you've predicted the right side of history

Have you read Yudkowsky?

enough to be aggravated by his lack of reflexive criticism

Ok, well the two Yudkowksianisms that are relevant here are: 1. It's fallacious to assume people with different opinions have extraordinary character 2. The amount of evidence required to raise a theory to the level of attention is already most of the proof of a theory

not sure how 1 has bearing, but i can address 2 (because it relates to his naive induction) positive evidence has no bearing on the validity of a theory- so a *bunch* of evidence doesn't prove *anything*- it's *thwarted expectations* that *always* raise things into awareness

His induction is somewhat naive but not as naive as this. I suggest rereading the appropriate portions of the sequences.

uh, this is simply popperian epistemology i suggest you read conjectures and refutations (jk, you don't need to read shit, if i can't produce a persuasive case for it, i won't ask you to do laborious reading of something that might be horseshit)