I think for the most part there's a distribution of contradictory horseshit opinions held inconsistently by people and being allowed to do things with other people's money/resources is mostly a matter of feeding speech tokens into this slot machine.
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logic underlies statistical reasoning, if you neglect it, you have ever-greater drift from the Real
Big Yud thinks logic is a special case of probabilistic reasoning rather than vice versa, and I understand that perspective: certainly the real world is not easily cut at the joints with logic.
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there's tacit cutting of joints in statistical reasoning- the categories and proxies used to measure into those categories are fundamentally logical statistical reasoning is blind without logic, and errors are impossible to identify without it
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I don't know that I'm good enough at math to have an opinion. I bet Yud or his more intelligent acolytes would have an answer to this though.
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