It's fully general so it explains the mixture of victory and defeat that occur irl equally well.
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Replying to @Alephwyr
fully general explanations can't have any informational content 'this is all a dream' is fully general, and explains nothing
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Replying to @averykimball
I think for the most part there's a distribution of contradictory horseshit opinions held inconsistently by people and being allowed to do things with other people's money/resources is mostly a matter of feeding speech tokens into this slot machine.
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Replying to @Alephwyr
all ideas have the potential to be inconsistent with *something*, determining which side of the inconsistency equation is "better", and so should be used as the ground on which we reason, is the hard part
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Replying to @averykimball
Right, but it's the "a measure ceases to become a valid measure when it becomes a target" thing. Everyone is chasing each other in circles. Nobody actually knows anything. The people that pretend to are full of shit.
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Replying to @Alephwyr
i mean, that's why the only escape is to try to find targets that invalidate measures (science, baish!)
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Replying to @averykimball
I'm not sure what you mean. The domain seems anti-inductive to me.
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Replying to @averykimball
Hypotheses aren't inductive. Science is generally inductive, at least until it isn't. And then it is again, just in a different way. Science is a perpetual alternation between inductivity and originality.
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Replying to @Alephwyr
induction is logically incoherent, science can't work with logically incoherent parts it's more an alternation of *deduction* and originality
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It's not really logical induction that's performed, it's statistical reasoning that resembles logical induction via similar but distinct things in cluster space. Logic is the dumb low fidelity essentialist simplification. It still basically works and drives things in most cases.
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Replying to @Alephwyr
logic underlies statistical reasoning, if you neglect it, you have ever-greater drift from the Real
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Replying to @averykimball
Big Yud thinks logic is a special case of probabilistic reasoning rather than vice versa, and I understand that perspective: certainly the real world is not easily cut at the joints with logic.
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