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If anyone's right about anything today, it isn't because they have a superior method for producing correct opinions, and it is certainly not because they're capable of implementing a superior method for producing correct opinions. Most extant assertions are effectively random.
"But what about science???" If science were implemented rationally and with discipline it would look radically different from how it currently looks. The scientific method is aspirational at present. People know it when they see it, always after the fact, but never before.
Things science would do if it were actually optimally rational: 1. Prioritize research based on a combination of risk tolerance and probabilistic expectation rather than subjective interest 2. Get rid of peer review 3. Work through methodological and semantic quagmires in advance
https://graymirror.substack.com/p/covid-is-sciences-chernobyl?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxMTY0NTc5MywicG9zdF9pZCI6MzM2OTE0MDYsIl8iOiI1TlRydCIsImlhdCI6MTYxNjAzMDE4NCwiZXhwIjoxNjE2MDMzNzg0LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNDk3NjYiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.AFgkIhyX5p0HPK_V7YnYw-T6442P-X2nHX-TEdjBEhg&fbclid=IwAR37R7BCEojzHkxCClic9ALurkIfAy-Tgp-YNGwdqSNplTAD43FvUvSSO8M … This sort of dovetails with what I'm talking about in a practical way.
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