It's impossible to support gun control without at least marginally increasing the epistemic probability that you are a person who should be shot.
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Can be extended WLOG to all opposition to violence, really. Counterintuitive in a way, but the opposite would be more so. Wonder what this says about what the limits of Bayesian reasoning are, particularly in maintaining universal rights like due process, and rule of law
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Rationality to me seems to be mostly about the capacity to think laterally in such a way that you escape seemingly unavoidable traps. If you just adjust behavior every time you're confronted with a change in probability you are probably comprehensively insane.
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A rationalist would likely say this is more a problem of forgetting what you already know every time you learn a new thing, and that knowledge that doesn't "bind anticipation" isn't real knowledge; but it is possible that some knowledge zeroes out like a scale does for a reason?
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