14 years ago I wasted time writing a television show in my head about a five years of escalating global conflict between technocratic liberals and insurrectionary anarchists. It was supposed to be more artistic than predictive. But none of the extreme bits are out of place today.
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Basically the start of the show was a few privileged anarchists in the global north realizing they could leverage their privileges to assassinate genocidaires. By the end there's a fascist resurgence facing mass popular resistance in a civil war (although I set this in Europe).
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Coming out of the sedate end-of-history paradigm of the 90s it seemed wildly audacious to predict such sharp reemergence of history, much less a breakdown of state legitimacy in the US. The anxiety, death, and political chaos I had my characters in now seems quite reasonable.
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The only extreme elements we haven't seen IRL: 1) stolen nukes from Ukraine placed in orbit and used as deterrence by an agency to defend small autonomous regions 2) an anarchist affinity group getting in bed with a CIA handler, using each other and betraying each other
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My model is unironically Shadowrun. It's held up so far.
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