Believing they will out strategize and out logistics the establishment is like believing the Soviet Union will do the same to the US: the very root of their wrongness prevents them.
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The take that riots will lead to worse unrest is anti essentialist and in a sense too charitable. People are limited by their natures. The left in particular are hamstrung by intersectionality and the belief in hierarchical inversion.
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I've never understood the talking out of both sides of your mouth about this. Either they're suboptimal and not a threat to superior systems or they are a threat and are functional. Trying to have it both ways is either stupidity or rank opportunism at the expense of the stupid.
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