The Legendary Dragon Alephwyr, named Alephwyr, BA

They know this. They want us to not pass. It's branding

This is untrue, and a deeply unhealthy way to think.

I think that because the latter is true, you want the former to be true as well. There is no reason health and truth should be correlated

Growing up naturally can never be said to be 'branding'. Everyone wants their kids to grow up healthy & happy. Given all uncertainties around gender dysphoria, not giving PBs etc likely to lead to best outcome.

That's not how probabilities work. They're a function of empirical reality, not your subjective uncertainty

The uncertainties I refer to are empirical. Or rather, ultimately the lack of empirical evidence that transition is always the best thing for people.

Fine. The problem is then: 1 The accuracy of diagnosis in the first instance 2 One of expected values eg, if the odds of being trans vs desisting is 50 50, and the harm of not allowing transition is even incrementally greater than the harm of allowing it, transition is indicated

Oversimplified, but assuming this could be true, we would need to actually find out whether transition really is even incrementally better. And we cannot do this without experimenting on children.