Optimization is a suboptimal primary mental model for decision making Preference ordering should not be your first preference for analyzing preferences There are more cons than pros to weighing pros and cons My priors are that using priors to frame decisions is a lousy idea
The odds are pretty good that the negative space of your ancestors already constitutes the blood price of your existence and that you don't even need to do much on purpose to survive. The world is increasingly idiot proof, so the safest strategy is to be an idiot.
