No one is aware the virus exists. No one takes it seriously. No one takes adaptive measures against it. Under those circumstances you can have what everyone is afraid of which is exponential growth. But once a large percentage of people become aware things change.
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Normally your contact with people is limited. You don’t hug strangers or kiss them. With social distance you decrease the vector for transmission for those instances when you DO have to be around them. When everyone becomes germaphobes for a short period we see a few things.
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We reduce our contact to just our smallest social circle. This allows the transmission rates to go from 2.2 a day to maybe 1.2 every 3-4 days. The virus loses its ability to spread because the element of surprise is no longer on its side.
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If you avoid large crowds you can further the defences and create pockets of people who didn’t get sick and don’t get sick. That’s important because they don’t tax the health systems. Our actions ripple out and the negative feedback loop has created excellent odds to win.
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Washing hands, not touching people or things, keeping social distance, avoiding crowds is the mechanism to get the growth to shift to decay. We just gotta give it time. My friend
@paulportesi says turn down the heat and water goes from boiling to cold in time.Show this thread -
If we all do our part, we can get back to normal a lot faster. At least we know the general global immune system can react. Hopefully we start hearing more about exponential decay instead of growth. There is always hope once you understand the mechanisms at play & go ViaNegativa.
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Ray of hope & very positive thoughts during the time of this crisis

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