The Lindy effect is a concept that the future life expectancy of some things like a technology or an idea is proportional to their current age, so that every additional period of survival implies a longer remaining life expectancy. Paul has changed this into his own religion. https://twitter.com/paulskallas/status/1047330148779999233 …
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It isn’t saying anything other than that for some reason something has been around for awhile so we expect it to be around for awhile. It says nothing about why or why not. Paul, however, seems to have a magical ability to decide such things rather than using the heuristic.
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Anyway, he should know that humility is lindy. If not just for Zahavian Signaling.
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