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Ahimsa_Satya_'s profile
Ahimsa
Ahimsa
Ahimsa
@Ahimsa_Satya_

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Ahimsa

@Ahimsa_Satya_

Exponential Growth Curve
Joined August 2017

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    1. Simon DeDeo‏ @SimonDeDeo Jun 25

      Simon DeDeo Retweeted François Chollet

      This thread by @fchollet, applied to Bayesianism, is the basic counterargument to the last ten years of “AGI as existential threat”.https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1010988618993655808 …

      Simon DeDeo added,

      François CholletVerified account @fchollet
      Statements like "X is can be used to represent any program/function, therefore it is all we are every going to need" are pretty silly.
      Show this thread
      2 replies 8 retweets 36 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Mimetïc Value‏ @MimeticValue Jun 25
      Replying to @SimonDeDeo @fchollet

      Intriguing thread. Thoughts on this? @Plinz @ESYudkowsky

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz Jun 25
      Replying to @MimeticValue @SimonDeDeo and

      People that think that modeling the complexity and functionality of a mind is going to stay out of our reach for long (or forever) are probably unrealistic. To show limits of Bayes etc. we may need more mathematical proofs, and less motivated reasoning.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Simon DeDeo‏ @SimonDeDeo Jun 25
      Replying to @Plinz @MimeticValue and

      "probably unrealistic" is, unfortunately, science fiction. Meanwhile Bayes itself (along with Decision theory) is internally consistent—no proof within the system will show its limits...

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Ahimsa‏ @Ahimsa_Satya_ Jun 25
      Replying to @SimonDeDeo @Plinz and

      What about Newcomb’s paradox in decision theory?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Simon DeDeo‏ @SimonDeDeo Jun 25
      Replying to @Ahimsa_Satya_ @Plinz and

      Either an equivocation on the word prediction, or atemporal (i.e., inconsistent with the assumption of updating based on new information). Lots of fun to propose to students, however!—a nice gauge of how religious they are about ML.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Ahimsa‏ @Ahimsa_Satya_ Jun 25
      Replying to @SimonDeDeo @Plinz and

      I get that it is a theoretical game, but how is it inconsistent with updating based on new information? Do you just mean it’s a single play game?

      10:02 AM - 25 Jun 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Derek
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Simon DeDeo‏ @SimonDeDeo Jun 25
          Replying to @Ahimsa_Satya_ @Plinz and

          Generically: there's an arrow of time in Bayes. You can learn (i.e., reduce your entropy over theories), but you can't consistently "forget". Newcomb's paradox doesn't have a consistent arrow of time.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Ahimsa‏ @Ahimsa_Satya_ Jun 25
          Replying to @SimonDeDeo @Plinz and

          But what about inconsistencies with updating information if this is single instance game? Are you talking about the predictor being thermodynamically limited now?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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