You would predict that American states with higher gun ownership see _____ gun homicides, per capita
In general I think I agree. A world with half-gun ownership is the most fatal; no-gun and total-gun ownership are probably much less fatal, but I do suspect no-gun ownership is less fatal than total-gun ownership
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that being said, I think typically there's some strong misunderstandings between pro and anti-gun people about the reasons for why guns are desired. It comes from a lot more than just 'self defense', and total-gun ownership could potentially be better despite the fatalities.
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