I think we're about to see an explosion of tech that's gonna radically alter what it means to be human, and I have no idea how our cultural brains are going to handle this
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Assuming AI doesn't kill us, what happens to our world when everything we do is done better by nonhumans? And not just everything we do - everything we *wish we could do*. If it's aligned, it should be trivial to rebuild our bodies however we want.
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I really think this is gonna hit real fast, under ten years
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I don't think it'll be soon, there are lots of obstacles to scale tech access to everyone or at least to the majority. High tech will keep being inaccessible for many years. We'll go through huge inequality gaps
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1. as a whole we're radically underestimated the rate of AI development in the past
2. AI will help with more AI development, should be exponential growth
10 years does seem a little optimistic for AI biohacking tho
granted things have accelerated a lot but hmm
there's a lot that needs to happen before this works flawlessly and a lot that could go wrong
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i agree a lot could go catastrophically wrong, but *assuming* we somehow don't catastrophic ourselves to oblivion, then i think biohacking is a relatively trivial problem for superintelligence
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1. I don't think that's true. Herbert Simon predicted that by the 1980s machines could do any work a person could. In 1957 he said that computers would beat humans at within 10 yrs, but it took 40. In the 60s, people thought psychologists would be replaced by AI in 10 yrs. Etc.
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1. "We"'ve also radically overestimate the rate in the past's past
2. That doesn't necessarily follow. AI development might become so much more difficult that even with helper AI, linear growth is all we can achieve.