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Conversation

Twitter polls are no better than noise, they said. Concluding anything based off twitter polls is laughable and meaningless, they said. Real research is the kind that gets published in academic journals, they said. (look at that stable 2.2%!)

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twitter polls obvs aren't perfect, but there's lots of ways to get a good grasp on their limitations and draw pretty good conclusions from their data. I think people often dismiss them because they don't have enough "science aesthetic".

12:52 AM · Aug 15, 2022

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and horrific selection bias lmao

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ah yes, the horrific selection bias that eliminates the meaningfulness of the slight increase of covid rates in a population over time

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Erik Brynjolfsson

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It’s great that the poll numbers were stable but that really doesn’t address the core concern: your sample of followers is likely non-representative in an unknown way. So we don’t really know how to interpret these results. Definitely fun though!

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Erik Brynjolfsson

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and

By the way, a group of friends and I played your game askhole last night. It was terrific – thanks for creating it.

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people dismiss them because they're too lazy themselves to learn how to write a good twitter poll which is a complex skill that's cultivated with practice, and get offended when you give them any advice on pollcraft

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And yet they put a ton of weight on phone and exit polls for politics - those are gospel.

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Also the ability to attract trolls if worded/presented badly.

@c8h11no2_njoyr

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if u really look into academic polling methods, u'll see your polls are just as good or better than most of the garbage that gets published.

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@LionBea32992082

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Yes. You nailed it, imo.

@atweeterwhotwee

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nah, people dismiss them cause they don't have a random sample